Ascot Betting Tips for January 19

Betting.org experts give their Ascot betting tips for January 19, featuring three best bets for a competitive seven-race card on Clarence House Chase day. Seddon looks potentially ahead of his mark, so rates our NAP in the 2m 3f Holloway’s Handicap Hurdle. Top rated If You Say Run is the next best bet in the Grade 2 Warfield Mares’ Hurdle over 3m following a fine second last time out. Flying Angel, meanwhile, looks nicely treated now dropped back in trip, so makes plenty of each-way appeal in the 2m 5f bet365 Handicap Chase. Find out more about these horses in our in-depth preview with Ascot betting tips for January 19.

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Odds
9/2
NAP
Seddon
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Betvictor logo
Odds
11/4
NB
If You Say Run
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Paddy Power logo
Odds
20/1
E/W
Flying Angel
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Seddon weighted to strike on handicap debut at Ascot

Seddon looks decent value to cash-in on a potentially lenient mark and land the spoils in the Grade 3 Holloway’s Handicap Hurdle over 2m 3f at Ascot on Saturday (14:25). This Tom George trained five-year-old made a winning winning debut in a bumper at Musselburgh when staying on strongly to score comfortably by five lengths, and was then far from disgraced when pitched into Grade 1 company and finishing 12th of 23 to Relegate in the Champion Bumper at last year’s Cheltenham Festival.

The strapping son of Stowaway appealed as the type that would come into his own when sent hurdling, and that view was confirmed when he landed a 10-runner contest over 2m at Stratford on seasonal reappearance. After taking up the running approaching the last, he quickened clear to beat Not That Fuisse by 4 1/2 lengths.

It was a very taking display and the turn of foot shown by Seddon was impressive.The runner-up is also a smart sort who has since finished a fine sixth of 13 in the valuable Grade 3 Greatwood Hurdle at Cheltenham, before finding only Al Dancer too good in a decent nine-runner handicap at the same venue and then winning last time out at Taunton.

Solid efforts against top novices

Seddon was then far from disgraced when pitched into Grade 2 company and finishing third of five to Elixir De Nutz at Cheltenham. His cause that day wasn’t helped by a bad mistake four from home, but he rallied well to snatch third close home and be beaten just over four lengths. Given that the winner went on to follow-up at the same venue before landing the Grade 1 Tolworth Hurdle at Sandown to now be rated 145, it gives the form a solid look.

It also suggests that the assessor may have taken a real chance in allotting Seddon an opening handicap mark of 137. He comes into the race having run well when an eight-length third to the hugely exciting Angels Breath, who is ante post favourite for the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival in two months’ time, in a Grade 2 over 2m at this venue.

Those efforts suggest there are plenty of races to be won with Seddon and, after just three starts over the obstacles, he remains unexposed and open to plenty more progress. Underfoot conditions are also ideal and the step up in trip also looks sure to suit judging by his pedigree. So, taking everything into account, there is nothing not to like about Seddon’s profile for this. That’s why he had to feature as the main selection in our Ascot betting tips for January 19.

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If You Say Run the one to be on in Warfield

If You Say Run lost little in defeat when runner-up last time out and looks to hold leading claims of resuming winning ways in the 3m Grade 2 Warfield Mares’ Hurdle (13:50). This Paul Nicholls trained seven-year-old is a consistent and progressive sort who has won three of her eight starts over the obstacles and also made the frame on several occasions.

She looked better than ever on seasonal reappearance when landing a seven-runner handicap at Wincanton by five lengths from Ltterale Ci – staying on strongly to win with real authority. If You Say Run then went down all guns blazing when a two-length runner-up to Mia’s Storm in a Listed contest at Kempton back in November.

The daughter of Mahler made a mistake two from home when mounting her challenge, then hung left and got slightly impeded by the outside rail on the run-in. However, she stuck gamely to the task and has nothing to fear from the re-opposing Culture De Sivola, who finished 1 3/4 lengths further behind in third.

If You Say Run also has proven form in this grade having finished a very solid second of 10 to Midnight Tune at Sandown 11 months ago in a race which has thrown-up plenty of subsequent winners. An official rating of 144 is also the highest in the line-up, and that gives her 3lb and upwards in hand on her five rivals.

So, with underfoot conditions ideal and proven winning form over the trip, If You Say Run’s claims look glaringly obvious. Hence she is also among Ascot betting tips for January 19 and rates our next best bet on the seven-race card.

Flying Angel appeals each-way

In the 2m 5f bet365 Handicap Chase (15:00), Flying Angel makes plenty of each-way appeal now dropped back in trip. This Nigel Twiston-Davies trained eight-year-old has won three of his 16 starts over fences, and enjoyed his finest hour when winning the Grade 1 Manifesto Novices’ Chase on the opening day of the 2017 Aintree Grand National meeting.

The son of Arcadio took up the running five from home and, after getting headed on the run-in, rallied gamely to get back up close home and beat Cloudy Dream by a length off an official rating of 150. Flying Angel got put up to 157 for that and has failed failed to sparkle in seven subsequent outings – albeit he was not totally disgraced when a 12 lengths fourth of nine to Top Notch in a Grade 2 off 156 over this course and distance 14 months ago.

Flying Angel also ran well over course and distance three starts back when second of 10 to Mr Medic, where he travelled strongly throughout on the heels of the leaders before keeping on well to be beaten three lengths off a rating of 142. That effort suggests his current mark of 145 is exploitable and he’s since found the 3m 2f trip of the Ladbrokes Trophy at Newbury and the 3m distance on the Silver Cup Handicap Chase here beyond his stamina limits.

The return to 2m 5f is massively in his favour so Flying Angel looks a lively outsider capable of outrunning his odds on the pick of his form. He therefore features as the each-way punt and completes our Ascot betting tips for January 19.

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