Legacy Cup Betting Tips: Young Rascal Value for Newbury Arc Trial

Betting.org provide punters with 2018 Legacy Cup betting tips for the 1m 3f Group 3 race on Saturday, 22 September. Epsom Derby seventh Young Rascal is a value bet to bounce back following a break and win the the race formerly known at the Arc Trial. Ratings topper Mirage Dancer is feared most for Sir Michael Stoute with some strong form in the book. Trainer David Simcock, meanwhile, has saddled the last three winners and that makes last year’s victor Desert Encounter each-way value. For more on this interesting race, read our 2018 Legacy Cup betting tips preview.

Ladbrokes logo
Odds
9/2
Selection
Young Rascal
Bet now!
Betway logo
Odds
6/4
Danger
Mirage Dancer
Bet now!
Boylesports logo
Odds
4/1
E/W
Desert Encounter
Bet now!

Young Rascal looks real Legacy Cup value for Haggas

Lightly-raced William Haggas trained three-year-old Young Rascal has major claims at the weights of making a winning return to action following a break in the 1m 3f Group 3 Legacy Cup at Newbury on Saturday (14:20). The three-year-old gets weight for his main market rivals in the betting and forecast scattered showers in Berkshire are a big plus.

Haggas knows what it takes to saddle a winner of this contest, formerly known as the Arc Trial, having landed the spoils in 2011 with Green Destiny. In Young Rascal, he has a very lightly-raced colt who remains open to plenty more progress after just four career outings.

After being bested by My Lord And Master on debut at Nottingham, he came on for that sole juvenile run by landing a maiden over this course and distance on reappearance in real style. Young Rascal started making headway with half-a-mile still to go and took things up on the front end before the furlong marker.

He was then ridden clear and stayed on strongly for a comfortable five lengths success. Connections were so taken with what they’d seen that Young Rascal was pitched straight into Group 3 company off the back of that effort, and took the step up in class in his stride when landing the Chester Vase by half-a-length from Dee Ex Bee.

That does not tell the full story, however, as Young Rascal overcame all sorts of trouble in-running when denied a clear run twice but he still ran on and led inside the last 150 yards. It was a taking display and a crack at The Derby was his next target.

Young Rascal found Epsom and the premier Classic too hot to handle so soon, however, when beaten 16 1/2 lengths by Masar and finishing seventh – well behind Dee Ex Bee, who reversed the Chester form. We haven’t seen him since but, prior to being thrown in at the deep end, he had a progressive profile and earned the unchanged mark of 112 he races off here.

In spite of a penalty he must carry for his previous win in the grade, on official figures Young Rascal is 1lb well-in on last year’s Legacy Cup winner Desert Encounter and 2lb on ante post favourite Mirage Dancer. In-form jockey Jim Crowley takes the ride and that’s a big plus as he’s on a 28 per cent strike rate for the last 14 days at the time of writing.

With just an absence of 112 days to overcome, Young Rascal has really solid claims of resuming winning ways here. At the odds on offer, he is the value punt to land the spoils and get back on track, so heads our 2018 Legacy Cup betting tips.

Top 3 Bookmakers

01.
Betway
Really Good 87 / 100
Betway in test
100% up to £30
02.
Novibet
Really Good 87 / 100
Novibet in test
100% up to £25
03.
Mobilebet
Really Good 86 / 100
Mobilebet in test
100% up to £10

Mirage Dancer the main danger

Sir Michael Stoute is one of two trainers represented this year to have saddled three winners of the race. The aforementioned Mirage Dancer has a win in the grade this season and some very strong form prior to getting it, so the four-year-old is feared most despite carrying top-weight.

After winning his only start as a juvenile, the four-year-old son of Frankel didn’t trouble the judge last season but his yard does well with its older horses and he got back on track when landing his second of this campaign at Goodwood. Having tracked the leader in a steadily run Listed race, Mirage Dancer was ridden following effort two out and was soon upsides.

Once he hit the front, things were put to bed quickly and jockey Pat Dobbs could afford to ease his mount down close home. It left Mirage Dancer as value for more than the winning margin of three lengths over Euginio, who re-opposes here.

Owner Prince Khalid Abdullah then launched a two-pronged attack on the Wolferton Stakes at Royal Ascot. Although Mirage Dancer was sent off favourite, it was the other runner carrying his green, white and pink sash silks that landed the spoils as Monarchs Glen prevailed.

Mirage Dancer did really well to be beaten just 2 3/4 lengths in fifth here after being denied a clear run at a key stage of the race. He was forced to switch when encountering traffic and, while staying on inside the final furlong, it put paid to his chances of victory.

The form of Mirage Dancer’s penultimate run when half-a-length runner-up to Best Solution in the Group 2 Princess Of Wales’s Stakes at the July Festival is very strong. All of the first four home have come out and landed races since, with the winner going in twice at the highest level in Germany.

As Mirage Dancer finished four lengths in front of subsequent Ebor Handicap victor Muntahaa, and recorded a commanding 3 1/2 lengths win of his own in the Group 3 Glorious Stakes at Goodwood when last in action, his claims are obvious. It’s the penalty he must carry for that recent success, however, that may be his undoing here.

Without taking weight-for-age into account, Mirage Dancer is 2lb and upwards clear of the field. As he’s only rated 4lb superior to Young Rascal yet must carry 6lb more, the race terms are against him; so, for that reason, we are taking the favourite on.

Desert Encounter an each-way alternative

The other handler that’s a three-time winner of this is David Simcock and last year’s hero Desert Encounter is engaged again. He looks to retain plenty of ability despite now being a six-year-old and bids to defend his Legacy Cup crown off the same rating from 12 months ago.

He was ridden out after coming with a strong run to take things up inside the final furlong and stayed on well for a neck victory over Second Step. Desert Encounter is a hold-up performer with an impressive win and place record of 15 in 21 career starts.

Given he was beaten only 4 1/2 lengths when third to Poet’s Word in a Group 3 on reappearance at Sandown, and that one has since landed Ascot’s summer feature, the Group 1 King George, Desert Encounter is far from a spent force.

In-between two outings at the highest level where he never really got competitive, however, there were signs he still has plenty to offer when eased in grade as a two-length second to Emotionless in a 1m 2f Listed contest here. Desert Encounter also warmed up for this with victory at the same level and over this trip at Windsor.

He made smooth progress in the hands of Harry Bentley three furlongs from home, joining the leaders at the two pole before his jockey shook him up and produced him to lead at the last. All Bentley had to do then was push out Desert Encounter and he scored cosily by 1 3/4 lengths.

That is evidence that he can still be competitive as a pattern performer. As the aforementioned Euginio was well held by Desert Encounter at Windsor, it makes Simcock’s defending champ a solid each-way punt among our 2018 Legacy Cup betting tips on offer.

energybet welcome bonus

Your Next Bet

Arsenal
VS
Southampton
Football »
Best Odds: 1/2
Commitment: High
Arsenal - Southampton
Tip: Arsenal win
Risk
Best Odds: 1/2
Commitment: High
Eider Chase, Newcastle
Risk
Best Odds: 1/2
Commitment: High
Bobbyjo Chase, Fairyhouse
Risk

Top 5 betting bonuses

1.
Betway
100% up to £30
5.0/5
BONUS REDEEM
2.
Novibet
100% up to £25
5.0/5
BONUS REDEEM
3.
Mobilebet
100% up to £10
4.7/5
BONUS REDEEM
4.
Bet365
4.8/5
BONUS REDEEM
5.
Betfair
100% up to £100
4.8/5
BONUS REDEEM

Leave a response

Read more: