Leopardstown Christmas Festival Day 4 Betting Tips

Betting.org experts give their Leopardstown Christmas Festival day 4 betting tips and rate Delta Work the NAP of the seven-race card on Saturday, 29 December. While that one is well-fancied for the Grade 1 Neville Hotels Novice Chase stepping back up to 3m, Limini is the next best bet in the 2m 4f Grade 3 mares hurdle now facing an easier assignment. In a fascinating and fiercely competitive renewal of the Grade 1 Ryanair Hurdle over 2m, Supasundae rates a value each-way bet because of his consistency. The detailed Leopardstown Christmas Festival day 4 betting tips below have more on all these horses.

William Hill logo
Odds
1/2
NAP
Delta Work
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Paddy Power logo
Odds
4/7
NB
Limini
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Ladbrokes logo
Odds
6/1
E/W
Supasundae
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Delta Work the Neville Hotels Novice Chase choice

Leopardstown’s four-day Christmas Festival comes to a close this Saturday, and in the first of two Grade 1s – the 3m Neville Hotels Novice Chase – Delta Work looks a worthy favourite now stepping back up in trip. The Gordon Elliott trained, Gigginstown House Stud owned five-year-old has a progressive profile and good staying hurdle form as a novice.

While connections have six of the seven runners between them, Elliott saddling three and Gigginstown engaging five, Delta Work is the clear pick of the bunch after scoring at Grade 1 level last time out and on his spring festivals form. The five-year-old first really caught the eye when a close-up 3 3/4 lengths fourth to 2017 Ladbrokes Trophy hero Total Recall in a 3m Grade B handicap hurdle here in February.

As the son of Network was giving weight to the first three home, this was a solid effort and he then finished third off 3lb higher next time up at Punchestown in a Pertemps Qualifier. Delta Work came under a perfectly timed ride in the Final of that staying handicap series at the Cheltenham Festival, as Davy Russell drove him right out in game fashion to score by a nose.

Given he still had work to do at the final flight in that Grade 3, this was a terrific performance. Delta Work was then pitched into elite company off the back of that effort and was just held a neck by Next Destination in the Irish Daily Mirror Novice Hurdle at the Punchestown Festival.

Unbeaten over fences and form looks very good

Connections looked to have a hot staying chase prospect on their hands for this season, and that view has already been confirmed. Delta Work had to grind out a winning bow over fences on reappearance at Gowran Park when scoring by three-quarters of a length from Niven and the re-opposing Ben Dundee.

As the runner-up and third have both come out and won since, the form has a solid look to it. Delta Work was then straight back into Grade 1 company for the Drinmore Novice Chase at the Fairyhouse Winter Festival, where he was headed on the run-in but rallied superbly to get up and score by half-a-length.

Again, the runner-up Le Richebourg has advertised the form nicely by winning a Grade 1 earlier this week at the meeting. With the step back up in trip to 3m sure to suit, and Russell again on board, it’s Delta Work who is the NAP of our Leopardstown Christmas Festival day 4 betting tips.

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Limini can cash in on ease in grade

Limini has leading claims of resuming winning ways in the 2m 4f Grade 3 mares hurdle earlier on the card (13:20). Trained by Willie Mullins, this seven-year-old is now a useful dual-purpose performer who has race terms entirely in her favour here now eased significantly in grade.

The Rich and Susannah Ricci owned Limini has a 50 per cent career hurdles strike rate and has never finished out of the first three in eight starts over timber. She won her first three starts for connections before going down eight lengths to dual Champion Hurdle hero Buveur D’Air in a Grade 1 novice event at Aintree in 2016.

Having won the inaugural Dawn Run for novice mares at the Cheltenham Festival, Limini then beat Apple’s Jade first time out in 2017 when pulling off a two-length upset in the Quevega Hurdle at Punchestown. Although Gordon Elliott’s star went on to reverse that form next time out, Limini stuck to the task well and was only beaten 1 1/2 lengths.

Flat win and more to come back hurdling

A Flat campaign in valuable staying handicaps was plotted by connections after Limini spent over 500 days on the sidelines. She shaped well when placing in a couple of outings at the Galway Festival over the summer before scoring over Irish Champions Weekend at Leopardstown, but her success handicapped her out of the Cesarewitch at Newmarket and another big pot at Naas.

Limini was back over hurdles last time out at this trip in the Hatton’s Grace. While she was beaten 22 lengths by Apple’s Jade, that was her first run over timber for 21 months and she’s sure to come on for it. The winner has also since bolted up by another wide margin in the 3m Christmas Hurdle here on Friday, so that reads well in the context of this lower grade affair.

As Limini gets weight from main market rivals Forge Meadow and stablemate Good Thyme Thara, she is well-in on both as her rating of 152 is 6lb and upwards superior to the field. It makes her impossible to oppose and so she’s the next best bet of our Leopardstown Christmas Festival day 4 betting tips.

Supasundae a Ryanair Hurdle each-way punt

A deep field of seven line-up for the feature 2m Grade 1 Ryanair Hurdle (14:30) and, in a difficult race to call, Supasundae appeals most as an each-way bet because he’s simply the most consistent. While Jessica Harrington’s charge is an elder statesman in this aged eight, he’s finished first or second in each of his last six starts all that this top level.

The Alan and Ann Potts Limited owned gelding doesn’t know how to run a bad race and always comes on for his reappearance – where he chased home Apple’s Jade in the Hatton’s Grace. Supasundae drops back in trip here, but that’s no problem as he bested Faugheen over course and distance at the inaugural Dublin Racing Festival in the Irish Champion Hurdle earlier this year.

Although then second to Penhill and L’Ami Serge over further at Cheltenham and Aintree, this son of Galileo scored again at 2m in the Punchestown Champion Hurdle. That was an incident packed race in which re-opposing duo Samcro and Melon both came to grief three out.

Question marks for many in opposition</strong

The latter hasn’t been seen since and reappears here, but the former has disappointed in two subsequent starts. Samcro and Melon are far from alone in having something to prove, however, as Sharjah is sure to find this Grade 1 far more competitive than the Morgiana Hurdle he won last time out.

Scottish raider Bedrock, who beat Samcro and Sharjah at Down Royal, is worse off at the weights with the WKD Hurdle runner-up, meanwhile. Petit Mouchoir is switched back to smaller obstacles after a novice chase campaign in which Footpad easily bested him three times.

It is almost a process of elimination and Supasundae looks the only reliable option now he’s had a run. He’s also among our Leopardstown Christmas Festival day 4 betting tips as an each-way bet, but bookmakers only offer a quarter of the win odds on two places.

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