September Stakes Betting Tips: Crystal Ocean Value Over Enable at Kempton Park

The 2018 September Stakes betting tips on offer at Betting.org say Crystal Ocean is the value bet to turn over red-hot Enable on her return to action in this 1m 4f Group 3 at Kempton Park on the all-weather. Those two set a clear standard in this opening race at the Sunbury on Thames venue on Saturday, 8 September, while Weekender is the only credible alternative. He represents the same connections – trainer John Gosden and owner Prince Khalid – as Enable. Our 2018 September Stakes betting tips preview has more on what promises to be a fascinating renewal.

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Odds
15/8
Selection
Crystal Ocean
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Odds
4/6
Danger
Enable
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Odds
14/1
E/W
Weekender
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Crystal Ocean can spoil Enable return in September Stakes

Sir Michael Stoute is the most successful trainer in the history of the September Stakes, so his Crystal Ocean looks a real value bet to beat returning Arc de Triomphe heroine Enable in Saturday’s opening Group 3 race at Kempton Park over 1m 4f (14:05). The four-year-old is taken to give weight all-round in a select field of five based on the great strides he’s made this season and the fact his main market rival has to contend with almost a year off the track.

Crystal Ocean must shoulder a 5lb penalty for his game Group 2 success in the Hardwicke Stakes at Royal Ascot on his penultimate start where he full justified being sent off odds-on. Ryan Moore produced this son of Sea The Stars to lead about two from home and then ran on strongly for a more commanding victory than the winning margin.

His close-up second in last year’s St Leger apart, this was a career best from Crystal Ocean, who then lost little in defeat when once again pitched into Group 1 company for the King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes at Ascot. Losing by a neck following a lengthy tussle with stablemate Poet’s Word meant he was a gallant runner-up.

As his last two outings were over the same trip as this, Crystal Ocean arguably sets the standard on form for this season. Getting a handle on that compared to Enable, who hasn’t raced since the end of her three-year-old campaign, is more difficult.

What you can say is that Crystal Ocean is a three-time winner in this grade, having landed Group 3s at Glorious Goodwood last season and Sandown and Newbury this term, and his King George run means he comes out on top on ratings. Giving a sex allowance and penalty away to Enable is going to be a challenge, but he is definitely race fit.

At the odds on offer, Crystal Ocean is clearly better value and the fact connections are prepared to take her on here speaks volumes. With Enable’s clear target being the Arc, taking her on is what we advise in our 2018 September Stakes betting tips.

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Enable commands huge respect on comeback

The presence of the aforementioned wonder-filly Enable in this all-weather Group 3 has raised interest no end. As she’s officially rated just 1lb lower than Crystal Ocean, but getting 8lb from him, the daughter of Nathaniel is well-in to the race, but has been off a long time and this will not be the easy procession comeback run that trainer John Gosden would’ve hoped for.

Prince Khalid Abdullah’s four-year-old was simply a marvel last season with Enable putting her fellow fillies ruthlessly to the sword in The Oaks at Epsom, the Irish equivalent at The Curragh and then the Yorkshire Oaks at the Ebor Festival. There was no doubting her supremacy among the females and she also battered the boys in the King George and Arc under a peach of a ride from Frankie Dettori.

Five consecutive Group 1 victories command a ton of respect, but Crystal Ocean is a considerable obstacle on what was supposed to be a straightforward return to action plotted by connections following almost a year on the sidelines. Enable could well come out and be her brilliant best, but she needed the run on reappearance last season before hitting the devastating heights she’s capable of.

On all known form, the other three in the field are going to have run the race of their lives just to get close to Crystal Ocean and Enable. Although she heads the betting, she is plenty short enough with that absence to overcome, so we think there are reasons to take her on as Gosden will not want his charge knocked about following her lengthy layoff as he bids for back-to-back Arc triumphs.

Weekender best of the rest

It is very interesting that Gosden and Prince Khalid have kept another of their horses in the line-up here with Ebor Handicap second Weekender also taking his chance – after a superb display under top-weight at York 14 days ago. Chasing home Muntahaa in that valuable handicap has elevated him back to his joint career high rating of 114.

That put hims well clear of the other two, but still with plenty to find on stable companion Enable and Crystal Ocean. If, and it’s a big if, one of the market principals doesn’t run to form, then it’s fellow four-year-old Weekender who should pick up the pieces and he’s the only thing close to a credible alternative.

This son of Frankel has a 100 per cent record on the all-weather, landing two contests at Chelmsford including on reappearance over 1m 6f. Weekender was then pitched into Group 2 company for the first time on the back of that and beaten 6 1/2 lengths into third by Magic Circle.

Although clearly no match for the winner of the Henry II Stakes, it’s revealing he was only half-a-length behind Red Verdon at Sandown, who went on to chase home Crystal Ocean in the Hardwicke. Given Weekender then follow-up with a narrow neck defeat in the Grand Cup at Listed level before that massive run under a welter burden in the big one over the same course and distance at York, the form line is very interesting.

It advertises his each-way or tricast claims nicely. Ebor winner Muntahaa was in receipt of 3lb from Weekender and beat him by 3 1/4 lengths; he also has to give 3lb to the fillies here, but gets 5lb from Crystal Ocean, so is no forlorn hope unlike the other two runners.

Bookmakers are only paying two places for each-way bets here because of the small field of five, but that leaves the bigger odds about Weekender tempting – especially if Enable is eased towards the finish and this run is just about conditioning rather than winning. He is one to weigh up, as connections will not want the star filly knocked about en route to the Arc.

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