Manchester City vs Arsenal 03-03-2019 - Free Betting Tips

Manchester City
Arsenal

Two juggernauts of the Premier League go head-to-head in one of the most highly anticipated fixtures that remain this season. Both have plenty to play for, with the defending champions desperate to regain their crown and Arsenal gunning (pun intended) to retain their position in the top four standings with Chelsea nipping at their heels. For more on this huge Premier League match up, check out the rest of our Manchester City vs Arsenal preview.

Manchester City vs Arsenal Best Odds

03. February 2019 | 16:30
Football » Premier League

Finding The Best Bets

Tip:
Manchester City win
Best odds:
3/10
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Risk
Tip:
Under 2.5 goals
Best odds:
11/5
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Risk
Tip:
Arsenal win
Best odds:
8/1
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Risk

The Manchester City vs Arsenal best odds clearly favour the defending champions. The home team come into this contest with a 73% win probability to their opponent’s 11%, making a Man City win a safe wager to make. BetVictor are advertising low-risk 3/10 (1.3) odds on this result. Despite their respectable fourth place standing in the Premier League table, Arsenal are the major underdogs here and fans will find high-risk 8/1 (9.0) match odds at William Hill. Those wanting to remain neutral can instead predict that there will be under 2.5 goals to take advantage of medium-risk 11/5 (3.2) odds from Ladbrokes.

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Odds
3/10
Bet Tip:
Manchester City win
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Ladbrokes logo
Odds
11/5
Bet Tip:
Under 2.5 goals
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William Hill logo
Odds
8/1
Bet Tip:
Arsenal win
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Manchester City vs Arsenal Betting Tips: Form Guide

Manchester City Fall Slightly Below Lofty Expectations

Whenever you assess Manchester City’s recent form, you really have to do so in two ways. The first is by the standards of any ordinary football team. Being second in the Premier League and hot on the heels of the top spot is a position virtually every team in English football would envy. It’s the reason that the Manchester City vs Arsenal betting tips have them as such firm favourites.

However, the other way to look at it is through the lens of the expectations that Manchester City have set themselves. These are so high that what is beyond the wildest dream of most teams seems like a minor disappointment for the defending champions. Of course, for an example of why, look no further than their recent 2-1 loss to Newcastle – or their losses in December which went 3-2 to Crystal Palace and 2-1 to Leicester. Although a mere handful of losses, it’s more than people expect from such a top tier side.

Ultimately, Manchester City are still brilliant – one of the best. Just look at their 2-1 win over Liverpool which kicked off the year, followed by back-to-back 3-0 wins over Huddersfield and Wolves for proof. That being said, they have shown us that they are not invincible and that perhaps some Manchester City vs Arsenal match previews have written their opponents off a touch too quickly.

Arsenal’s Lack Of Consistency Costs Them

When you consider that the Gunners are fourth in the Premier League – admittedly, that’s still nine points behind City but still a very respectable position – and that their opponents recently lost to a team far lower in the rankings, you might wonder how on earth so many Manchester City vs Arsenal betting tips for today have them rated so lowly. And you may have a point. Just look at their 2-0 victory over Chelsea and their thrilling 2-1 win over Cardiff in their last two Premier League games as proof of their ability on the pitch.

However, the thing that Arsenal struggles with is consistency, with their recent record being a prime example of seesaw results. Not only that, when they’ve not been on form, they have been absolutely pummeled by top tier sides. There’s perhaps no better example of this than their utter mauling by league leaders Liverpool, who scored no less than four goals in the first 20 minutes to completely overwhelm the Gunners. Despite a penalty from Arteta, Arsenal never recovered, with the final whistle mercifully ending things 5-1.

That’s just an example of the larger problem. When Arsenal haven’t been playing at their best against top teams, they’ve often looked completely out of their depth. Funnily enough, that trend began this season when Manchester City blasted Arsenal 2-0 in their first match of the Premier League. Arsenal will likely need to be firing on all cylinders to avoid a repeat of that here.

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The Last Five Games

Manchester City VS. Arsenal

  • Manchester City Form 4 wins, 1 loss in the last 5 matches
  • Manchester City Goals 13 goals in the last 5 matches
  • Arsenal Form 3 wins, 2 losses in the last 5 matches
  • Arsenal Goals8 goals in the last 5 matches
Manchester City -
Arsenal
Manchester City
VS.
Arsenal

Manchester City vs Arsenal Preview: Recent Meetings

In terms of analysing shifts in the world of football, there are perhaps few more interesting examples than the head-to-head record of these two teams. Arsenal, overall, have nearly double the winning percentage. Throughout the 80s, 90s and the early noughties, the Gunners utterly dominated City. In fact, between 1983 and 2006, City won a total of three out of 34 games against Arsenal.

Then the momentum began to shift, improving gradually for City until the present day. However, they only really gained an advantage in November 2017. They have since won four games in a row against Arsenal, with the last ending 2-0 in their favour in August of last year.

For City then, this is a chance to prove that they are now the dominant team in this fixture, while Arsenal will want to beat City to show that they still belong in consideration of the best teams in English football.

Manchester City vs Arsenal Prediction: City Secure Victory

We made the point that bookmakers might be a bit harsh on Arsenal in their assessment of their chances here. And we think that is true. Arsenal remains capable of truly amazing performances. However, just because we think the possibility of a Gunners win is more likely than most bookmakers believe, that doesn’t mean we think it’s the most likely outcome.

When you look at their performances compared to Man City’s, they simply fail to live up to expectations more often. So, when you consider who is most likely to get the better result, you have to go with the defending champions. There’s always the chance that City have another disaster here and Arsenal pull it out the bag, but we don’t think that will happen.

Manchester City are no doubt acutely aware of how rapidly their Premier League title chances are dwindling and will be unlikely, after the shock defeat to Newcastle, to be bringing anything other than their A game. With that in mind, our Manchester City vs Arsenal prediction is for the home team to secure victory to keep them in the title picture.

If you’ve enjoyed reading our Manchester City vs Arsenal free betting tips, be sure to check out the rest of our match previews here at Betting.org.

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