Novak Djokovic vs Juan Martin Del Potro - US Open Final Free Betting Tips

Novak Djokovic Novak Djokovic
Juan Martin del Potro Juan Martin del Potro

So it comes down to this. One of the most unpredictable US Opens of recent years is set to conclude with a final between two former champions — albeit champions who have experienced very different degrees of success over the past decade. Novak Djokovic has risen back to, well, not his best, but something close to it; Juan Martin Del Potro a potentially lucky beneficiary of Rafa Nadal’s nagging injury problems, but an undoubted talent with the ability to cause an upset. As our Novak Djokovic vs Juan Martin Del Potro preview notes, this final may not be the one that everyone was hoping for when the USO began, but it’s the one we’ve got, and there’s signs to suggest it could be a very interesting showpiece indeed.

Novak Djokovic vs Juan Martin Del Potro Best Odds

09. September 2018 | 21:00
Tennis » US Open

Finding The Best Bets

Tip:
Djokovic to win
Best odds:
11/25
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Tip:
Over 4.5 sets
Best odds:
5/2
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Tip:
Djokovic not to win a set
Best odds:
8/1
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It’s fair to say that most Novak Djokovic vs Juan Martin Del Potro best odds will all focus in one direction: Djokovic — and we’re in agreement on that score. The Serb looks the likely victor from this encounter, so if you’re looking to back the favourite, opt for Paddy Power’s 11/25 odds on him to win. Most bookmakers seem to think it will be a straights-sets victory too, but if you think JMDP has the ability to make it interesting and go all the way, then over 4.5 sets at at 5/2 Unibet is well worth a look. Finally, if you suspect Djokovic has maxed out his good luck and form for this year and JMDP’s power may overcome him, then betting on Djokovic not to win a set — at 8/1 with Betway — could be the best choice for you.

Table of contents

Novak Djokovic logo Novak Djokovic
VS.
Juan Martin del Potro logo Juan Martin del Potro
Paddy Power logo
Odds
11/25
Bet Tip:
Djokovic to win
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Unibet logo
Odds
5/2
Bet Tip:
Over 4.5 sets
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Betway logo
Odds
8/1
Bet Tip:
Djokovic not to win a set
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Novak Djokovic vs Juan Martin Del Potro: Recent Form

Djokovic Closing In On A Return To Former Greatness

Once upon a time, Novak Djokovic went on an unbeaten won and hoovered up trophies like he was going into the “CASH 4 GOLD” business. Then, he fell from grace, with inconsistent form and the occasionally-stupid interview damaging his standing in the game. Now… well, he’s somewhere in-between: his form has improved, he won Wimbledon, and he’s approaching close to his best form once more.

However, there’s no denying the Serb has had a relatively simplistic route to the final, particularly given Roger Federer removed himself from the running after being overcome by the New York heat. As a result, it could be argued Djokovic has yet to be really be tested. The favourites title is not one he’s ever worn easily, and it could be that the expectation he will win this match — a certainty that all bookmakers and pundits seem to agree on — is too much for a player not known for his mental fortitude.

However, it seems unlikely. Djokovic looks good; strong, fit, confident, and capable of hitting the kinds of shots that are destined to end up on YouTube highlight reels. The fact he’s had a relatively simple tournament likely plays in his favour and, overall, it’s tough to see him struggling too much against JMDP.

JMDP Back Where He Belongs

In 2009, Juan Martin Del Potro did the unthinkable: he beat Roger Federer to claim a Grand Slam title in an epic five-set encounter, and it seemed it would be the first of many. The stylish, powerful Argentine looked set to join the upper reaches of the tour, but injury — rather than his opponents on the other side of the net — has proved to be his nemesis over the past decade. However, after overcoming a wrist injury that JMDP has admitted was serious enough to make him contemplate retirement, this return to a Grand Slam final is long overdue.

In his route to this match, JMDP has been rather fortunate: Rafa Nadal’s knee problems led to retirement in the semi-final (Rafa Nadal, knee problems: who knew?). Usually, this would lead many Novak Djokovic vs Juan Martin Del Potro match previews to suggest Del Potro will be better-rested for this match, but we’re not sure we would concur, given Djokovic didn’t exactly have a huge test in his own semi-final. As a result, our Novak Djokovic vs Juan Martin Del Potro betting tips for today are focused on a Serbian win — but there’s always a chance Del Potro will take the game to Djokovic, as he did with Federer many moons ago, and his aggressive style and impressive groundstrokes, combined with Djokovic’s occasional mental flakiness, might result in an upset. It’s unlikely, but we all thought the same in 2009 when Del Potro faced Federer: JMDP has proven himself a resolved athlete, so no one should write him off just yet.

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The Last 5 Games

Novak Djokovic VS. Juan Martin del Potro

  • Djokovic Form5 wins in the last 5 matches
  • Djokovic Average Match Time2hrs 25mins over the last 5 matches
  • Del Potro Form5 wins in the last 5 matches
  • Del Potro Average Match Time2hrs 30min over the last 5 matches

Novak Djokovic vs Juan Martin Del Potro Preview: Previous Meetings

The history between these players tells a sobering story for Del Potro — the Argentinian player has met Djokovic eighteen times on the tour, and has been successful on just four of those occasions. The most recent victory over Djokovic for the 2009 champion came in Rio during the Olympic men’s singles tournament, when the younger player came through a tough straight-sets, 7-6, 7-6 win.

Since then, they have faced off three times, all on the ATP Tour last year. Two confrontations on hard court, at Acapulco and Indian Wells, went the three-set distance while the other was played on the clay of Rome and was won easily, for the loss of just five total games, by the Serbian player. Some of the Novak Djokovic vs Juan Martin Del Potro betting tips for today will be influenced by the match being played on a better surface for the South American player.

Novak Djokovic vs Juan Martin Del Potro Prediction: Djokovic In Five

Most Novak Djokovic vs Juan Martin Del Potro betting tips will focus on the likelihood of a Djokovic win in straight sets — but we’re not so sure. Both of these players could be dubbed comeback kings; Djokovic from uneven form, Del Potro from injuries that threatened to end his career. As a result, we’re inclined to believe that this will be more of a battle than many expect: these are two players who know how to fight, and both will want to claim the final Slam of the year as their own. We think it’ll take five sets for Djokovic to overcome his opponent — potentially involving a strategic dropping of the fourth to keep himself fresh for the decider — and while the Serbian will likely emerge victorious, JMDP has what it takes to push this one all the way.

So that’s our Novak Djokovic vs Juan Martin Del Potro prediction for this showpiece event – Djokovic to add another Slam event to his long list of Majors, but not without a titanic fight against a player whose decision not to hang up his racquet has been vindicated in a very clear way.

While the USO is nearly over, we at Betting.org will be continuing with our betting tips, previews, and analysis across a range of sports, so check back in future to find out more!

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