Portugal vs Italy - Free Betting Tips

Portugal
Italy

European giants Italy and Portugal will face each other in their UEFA Nations League group fixture at Estadio da Luz on Monday. Portugal come into this game on the back of a 1-1 friendly draw with World Cup finalists Croatia. Azzurri are under the management of Roberto Mancini, and they are aiming to restore their status after missing out on World Cup qualification. They played a 1-1 home draw with Poland in their first group game.

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Portugal vs Italy Best Odds

10. September 2018 | 19:45
Football » UEFA Nations League

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Tip:
Under 2.5 goals
Best odds:
4/7
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Risk
Tip:
Draw
Best odds:
28/13
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Risk
Tip:
Andrea Belotti to score
Best odds:
15/2
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The Italians have seen their stature fall considerably in recent years. They are looking for a new lease of life under Mancini. However, they were disappointing in Mancini’s first game as they could only manage a 1-1 home draw in their opener against Poland. The hosts looked headed towards a defeat but managed to restore parity through Jorginho’s second-half penalty. Portugal will be playing their first official game following their exit from Russia. Cristiano Ronaldo didn’t participate in the friendly draw with Croatia, and he won’t be playing against Italy too. These two sides haven’t played a competitive game in 25 years, but Portugal look favourites on the basis of current form. However, our Portugal vs Italy betting tips for today are for a low-scoring game is a certainty, and Italy would be hopeful of a draw against Ronaldo-less Portugal.

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Odds
4/7
Bet Tip:
Under 2.5 goals
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Odds
28/13
Bet Tip:
Draw
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Odds
15/2
Bet Tip:
Andrea Belotti to score
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Portugal vs Italy Betting Tips: Form Guide

Portugal looking to make a winning start

Portugal are accompanied by Italy and Poland in their Nations League group. They are favourites to win their group, and they would hope to make a winning start on Monday night. Selecção das Quinas have seen their stock risen considerably in recent years. They won their first European Championships in 2016, and they are one of the sides to watch out in this tournament. However, they have been considerably weakened due to Ronaldo’s absence from the side. Portugal coach Fernando Santos has allowed Ronaldo to miss this round of games so he could concentrate on life with his new club Juventus. Nevertheless, Portugal have names like Andre Silva, Marcos Lopes, Bernando Silva and Gelson Martins who are more than capable of hurting the Italians. Wolves star Ruben Neves is the new Portuguese star who has caught attention with his performances in Premier League. The 21-year-old could be a huge star for his national side in the coming years.

Veteran centre-back and captain Pepe was on target against Croatia, and he would be a key defensive player on Monday. When considering your Portugal vs Italy predictions, it’s important to note that Gonçalo Guedes, Bruno Fernandes and Cedric Soare were not involved in the Poland match, but all could start against Italy. Borussia Dortmund’s defender Raphael Guerreiro is an injury doubt for the game; we’ll discuss this in depth when we turn our thoughts to Portugal vs Italy predictions soon.

Italians looking for first competitive win under Mancini

Roberto Mancini has a huge job on his hands as he aims to guide Azzurri back to the upper echelons of international football. It appears that Mancini is still trying to figure out his best XI. The former World Cup winners were quite disappointing against Poland and could only manage a point in their tournament opener.

Mario Balotelli was handed his first start for the national side since 2014, and he was surrounded by Lorenzo Insigne and Federico Bernarderschi in the attack. However, this front-three proved to be ineffective in the first half against Poland. Thus, we expect some changes in the starting eleven against Croatia. Andrea Bellotti and Ciro Immobile are other striking options for Azzurri. Bellotti replaced Balotelli during the half-time against Poland, and he should start against Portugal. AC Milan midfielder Giacomo Bonaventura should also make his way into the starting eleven after starting the game against Poland on the bench. He is likely to replace Roma midfielder Lorenzo Pellegrini in the eleven.

The Italians can’t afford to lose this game as it would leave them in a precarious situation in this group. They have been granted a huge advantage as Ronaldo won’t play any part in the game. Following stats are to help you with your Portugal vs Italy betting tips.

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The Last 5 Games

Portugal VS. Italy

  • Portugal Form1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in the last 5 matches
  • Portugal Goals7 goals in the last 5 matches
  • Italy Form1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in the last 5 matches
  • Italy Goals6 goals in the last 5 matches
Portugal -
Italy
Portugal
VS.
Italy

Portugal vs Italy Preview: Recent Meetings

Italy enjoy clear superiority over their opponents in the head-to-head record. Azzurri have lost only one and won nine of their last ten meetings with Portugal. However, the last meeting, 2015 friendly, ended 1-0 in favour of Portugal. Prior to that, you would need to go all the way back to 1976 to find a Portugal win over Italy. The last official meeting between these two nations took place during the qualification stage for the 1994 World Cup. Italy managed to win both of their fixtures against the Portuguese with a 1-0 win in their home game and a 3-1 win in the away game.

Portugal vs Italy Prediction: Low Scoring Draw

We expect an exciting encounter between two sides who would look to win all three points. Portugal are the home side and obviously favourites to pick up all three points. This game is their opening fixture of the inaugural Nations League tournament, and they would aim for a winning start. Italy could only manage only one point from their home game against Poland, so they can’t afford to lose this game. Furthermore, Mancini’s squad would sense a real opportunity to upset the odds in the absence of Cristiano Ronaldo.

Italy are still trying to recover from missing out on the 2018 World Cup. Mancini has been appointed to guide Azzurri into the new era, and that’s why this tournament is so significant for Mancini and his players. The former Manchester City and Inter Milan man still needs to prove his credentials on the international stage. He hasn’t enjoyed an ideal start in his new job, but he has a couple of years before Euro 2020 to assemble an Italian squad capable of challenging for major honours.

Both sides come into this game on the back of 1-1 draws, and we don’t see either of them scoring too many goals in this game. Hence, we are backing a low-scoring draw.

For more international previews like our Portugal vs Italy match preview, check out Betting.org

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